Researchers at the state-run Tamil Nadu Dr MGR Medical University has predicted, based on mathematical projections, that Chennai city may witness 1.5 lakh Covid-19 cases and up to 1,600 deaths by July second week at the current rate of growth.
The university controls the medical education and medical colleges in the state, and its projections are used by government for active surveillance and preparedness.
According to a report in Indian Express, Dr G Srinivas, professor and head of the department of epidemiology at Dr MGR Medical University, said the COVID-19 cases are expected to peak in mid-October.
The University began its projection from April 18 and submitted it to the Tamil Nadu government in the first week of May.
“The disease continues to spread. However, the government is currently well-prepared to handle the number of cases with enough beds, isolation facilities, ICUs and such crucial infrastructure,” the report quoted Dr Srinivas as saying.
The university manages the medical colleges in Tamil Nadu and its estimations have been employed by the government for Covid-19 preparedness, The Indian Express reported.
The university started its projections from April 18 and presented it to the government in the first week of May.
The professor and head of the department of epidemiology at the Dr MGR Medical University, Dr G Srinivas told IE that the number of infections in the city would reach 1.5 lakh by July 15 and added that it would at its maximum in mid-October.