According to the latestrelease (at 2045 Hrs. IST)by the National Weather Forecasting
Centre of the India Meteorological Department:
♦ The Deep Depression over Southeast Bay of Bengal and neighbourhood remained practically
stationary during past 06 hours, and rapidly intensified into aCyclonic storm ” AMPHAN”
(pronounced as UM-PUN). It lay centred over the same region at 1730 hrs IST of today,
the 16th May, 2020 near latitude10.9°N and longitude 86.3°E, about 1040 km south of
Paradip (Odisha), 1200 km south-southwest of Digha (West Bengal) and 1300 km south-
southwest ofKhepupara (Bangladesh). It is very likely to intensify further into a
Severe Cyclonic Storm during 12 hours and into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm by
18thmorning. It is very likely to move north-northwestwards initially till 17th May
and then re-curve north-northeastwards across northwest Bay of Bengal towardsWest
Bengal and adjoining north Odisha coasts during 18th to 20th May 2020.
♦ Under its influence, Squally wind speed of the order of 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph
is prevailing over southeast & adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal. Itis likely to
increase becoming 90-100 gusting to 110 kmph over eastcentral& adjoining westcentral
Bay of Bengal by 17th morning; 120-130 kmph gusting to145 kmph over southern parts of
central Bay of Bengal by 18th morning; 155-165 kmph gusting to 180 kmph over northern
parts of central Bay of Bengal &adjoining north Bay of Bengal on 19th and 160-170 kmph
gusting to 190 kmph over north Bay of Bengal by 20th morning. Fishermen are advised not
toventure into these areas during these periods. Fishermen are advised not to venture
into Odisha-West Bengal & adjoining Bangladesh coasts during 18th-20th May and those out
at sea are advised to return to the coast.
♦ Scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershowers with isolated heavy to very heavy
falls very likely over Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal from 18th Mayonwards.
♦ Conditions are very likely to become favourable for advance of Southwest Monsoon into
some parts of southeast Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea andAndaman & Nicobar Islands in next
♦ Scattered to fairly widespread rain/thundershowers with lightning and gusty winds
(30-40 kmph) very likely over south peninsular India during next 4-5 daysalong with
isolated heavy rainfall activity over Kerala, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka,
Lakshadweep and Coastal Andhra Pradesh &Yanam during next 3days.
♦Northeastern states are likely to continue to experience fairly widespread to widespread
rain/thundershowers during next 5 days with isolated heavy falls on19th & 20th May.
Mainly dry weather is likely to prevail over Northwestern plains of India.
♦Presently maximum temperatures of 41-44°C are prevailing over parts of Rajasthan,
north Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha. Heat wave conditions arelikely to prevail
in isolated pockets over Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh on 19th & 20th May.